| Consultants Corner S-Business Forecast:
Sunny Today and Brighter Tomorrow
by James A. Alexander, Ed.D. and
Mark Hordes, Partners/Alexander Consulting
The latest research* confirms what most of us in the services industry have
long speculated—the future of services-driven businesses looks awesome.
Here are some facts to ponder that are taken from an extensive AFSMI study
that demonstrates a continuing trend of improved profitability and growth for
services.
Product-Services Mix
The average of 375 responses shows that today services are close to being
one-half (46 percent) of an organization’s total revenue, with products
making up the remaining 54 percent. These same respondents predict that within
two years services will eclipse product sales and account for 51 percent of
business revenues. One can only speculate on what this landscape will look
like five years out as services start to dominate the product-services mix
of most companies (see Figure 1).

Profitability
Although it is widely reported in the press, and usually accepted as a fact,
that gross margins are declining (especially product margins), participants
in this study disagreed (Figure 2).

Respondents revealed their current average gross margin for both the services
and the products sold by their organization. A later question asked them to
anticipate gross margin objectives two years into the future. Figure 2 shows
that participant organizations currently had a 30 percent average gross margin
on services sold, compared to a 21 percent average gross margin on products
sold. This difference is statistically significant. Furthermore, services were
projected to be more than 50 percent more profitable than products two years
into the future (again, statistically significant), increasing to a 34 percent
gross margin, while product gross margin is forecast to stay basically the
same (21 percent and 22 percent, respectively). This confirms many of the feelings
often expressed by service executives. Furthermore, it provides a strong rationale
for senior management to invest more in services—the offerings that can
yield the greatest return to the organization.
Growth Rate
Figure 3 shows that participants stated that the current annual
growth rate of services was double that of products (19 percent annual growth
rate vs. 9 percent). Respondents also predicted that services would continue
to grow significantly faster than products in the future. In addition, respondents
felt that their business would be expanding with the annual nine percent
growth rate for products increasing to 13 percent, while services annual growth
rate would increase from 19 percent today to 23 percent tomorrow.

(Note that the respondents
predicted both a significant increase from the current status to the projected
future for both services gross margin and product annual growth rate.)
Confidence
Furthermore, Figure 4 shows that participants are confident in their organization’s
ability to accomplish their anticipated goals two years hence. Only 10 percent
stated that they were not confident in reaching those targets.

In summary, services are over 50 percent more profitable than products, with
a significant improvement in the average gross margin of services expected
in the near future. Furthermore, the current annual growth rate of services
is more than double that of products, with a significant acceleration of the
annual growth rate of services planned in two years. Overall, respondents are
confident in their ability to accomplish their two-year objectives. The future
looks bright for these organizations and the services leaders at their helm.
Service Executive Implications
Don’t delay; take advantage of the good news stated above by packaging
it and presenting it to the people who most need to hear the story.
1. Get the word out to your people. Gather data from your organization regarding
the product-services mix, profitability, and growth. Create a presentation
comparing the data from the study with your figures, and use this information
to start dialogues with your people. They need to know the value they bring
to the corporation and the potential they have to contribute.
2. Get the word out to senior management. Take the presentation you created
above and add a SWOT analysis to it. Then schedule time with the top executives
to think about services strategy and its potential impact on the success of
the overall business. Nothing like a little unbiased data to help move along
your own services business agenda.
*Alexander, James A. 2002. The state of s-business: An international report
of progress, performance, and best practices (May). AFSM International.
Jim Alexander and Mark Hordes are partners with Alexander Consulting,
LLP, a management consultancy that creates and implements strategies
for professional services organizations. They also are authors of
the new book S-Business: Reinventing the Services Organization.
Contact them at 239-283-7400, ac@alexanderconsultingsbiz.com,
or visit www.alexanderconsultingsbiz.com.
S-Business: Reinventing the Services Organization
By James A. Alexander and Mark W. Hordes
S-Business: Reinventing the Services Organization offers
a focused, cohesive, and comprehensive approach through which decision
makers in product, professional services, and support services organizations
can embrace services as a strategic weapon.
Click
here, to order this extraordinary book at a 25% discount
(offered to the SSPA Community).
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